Time Warner, Inc. (TWX)

- 31.72 (USD)

(+1.0 %) 9/3/2010 4:00:00 PM

TWX Stock Report

Ockham Rating: Rating Withheld
Motley Fool Crowd Sentiment: Underperform
NYSE: TWX 31.72 (USD) (1.0 % ) 09/03 4:00 PM
Open 31.44
Day's Range 31.3 - 31.88
52Wk Range 25.67 - 34.07
Mkt Cap 34.1 Billion
Vol/Avg 4272500/5.4 Million
Div/Yield 2.64%

Key Fundamentals

Time Warner, Inc. Fundamentals
Price (9/3/2010) 31.72
Volume (9/3/2010) 4272500
Last Close Price 31.72
10 Day Average Volume 5.4 Million
13 Week Price Range 28.81 - 33.48
52 Week Price Range 25.67 - 34.07
LTM Revenue 26.6 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (12/31/2009) 1.1 Billion
Market Capitalization 34.1 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 98.4 Million
Institutional Holders 954
% Shares Held By Institutions 85.43%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 2.08
P/E Ratio 14.5349
Book Value Per Share 29.4472
 
Gross Margin 44.68%
Annual Dividend 0.8
Dividend Yield 2.64%
Beta 1.275936
Fiscal Year Ends December

About Time Warner, Inc.

Time Warner, Inc.is considered to operate in the Media sector. They specifically operate in the Entertainment - Diversified business segment contained within the Entertainment industry.

Time Warner Inc. is a media and entertainment company. The Company was formed in connection with the merger of America Online, Inc. and Time Warner Inc., now known as Historic TW Inc., which was consummated on January 11, 2001. The Company classifies its businesses into the three reporting segments: Networks, consisting principally of cable television networks that provide programming; Filmed Entertainment, consisting principally of feature film, television and home video production and distribution; and Publishing, consisting principally of magazine publishing. The Company's Networks business consists principally of domestic and international basic cable networks, pay television programming services and a broadcast television network. The basic cable networks owned by Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. constitute the principal component of the Company's basic cable networks. The Company's Filmed Entertainment businesses produce and distribute theatrical motion pictures, television shows, animation and other programming and videogames, distribute home video product, and license rights to the Company's feature films, television programming and characters. All of the foregoing businesses are principally conducted by various subsidiaries and affiliates of Warner Bros. Entertainment Group. The Company's publishing businesses are conducted primarily by Time Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, either directly or through its subsidiaries. Under the Communications Act of 1934, as amended, and its implementing regulations, cable networks are subject to certain direct and, through their distribution partners, indirect obligations relating to closed captioning, political advertising, and commercial limits on programming produced and broadcast primarily for an audience of children 12 and under. The Company's magazine subscription and direct marketing activities, as well as marketing activities by other divisions of the Company, are subject to regulation by the FTC and each of the states under general consumer protection statutes prohibiting unfair or deceptive acts or practices.

Ockham's Rating/Recommendation Summary

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TWX Revenue

For a long time, value investors have used the current share price relative to sales per share levels as an important valuation tool. We utilize a historical weighted average methodology that treats recent years more importantly in the calculation. When looking at TWX through this framework, we can see that our weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales per share ratios over the last 10 years are 1.41x and 0.82x respectively.

Utilizing this range we can see that TWX’s current Price to Sales per share ratio of 1.36x is significantly above its historical average. This places TWX at the upper end of its historical range relative to sales per share and makes it difficult to suggest an attractive price outlook. At current sales per share levels, we would need to see a decline in the Price to Sales ratio of 22% merely to return TWX to its historical average.

TWX Cash Earnings

As a value investment framework, Ockham Research is similar to a private equity firm in terms of our valuation methods. We are always on the lookout for value in the form of sales and cash numbers. In the case of TWX, Ockham views their current Cash Earnings as above its historical average multiple of cash earnings as calculated by Ockham. Similar to our analysis of sales per share, Ockham looks at the last 9 years of cash earnings levels for TWX to identify where the current high and low price levels have been historically in relation to profit per share. Again, we utilize a weighted average methodology which relies more heavily on recent years of data. This weighted average framework provides us with an average high Price to Cash Earnings ratio per share of 18.40 and a 11.72 low over the same period.

So, again, with a current Price to Cash Earnings per share ratio of 15.15, TWX is presently above its historical range. Ockham Research is always focused upon the value that investors have placed upon a given metric in the past. In other words, how much would an investor pay for a particular level of Cash Earnings in terms of stock price, and how does that relate to today. Naturally, we utilize proprietary methods to accomplish this, but the basic premise holds true and is simple to understand. For TWX, we are a bit negative on the Cash Earnings level given its higher than historical norm.

TWX Dividends

When determining a company's future prospects for success, Ockham Research sees analysis of dividend payments as a key additional factor. Even though it isn't imperative for TWX to shell out a dividend in order to receive a positive rating, it can be helpful to further our analysis.

The estimated annual dividend for TWX is 0.78 producing a current dividend yield of 2.48%. Much like our evaluation of Sales and Cash Earnings per share, we review dividend yields from TWX against the historic high and low levels over all available dividend history. Because dividends are a decision made exclusively by management, we view a healthy and rising dividend as a sign of confidence and strength. The highest dividend yield from TWX over previous years was 5.23% while the lowest dividend yield was 0.00%. The current dividend yield is below the historical median, which is slightly off-putting. We are a bit adverse to TWX from this valuation metric.